MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 27, 2026
Max Fried
NYY · P
Change to
Portrait of Payton Tolle
Payton Tolle
BOS · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Max Fried wins 1 (ERA); Payton Tolle wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Max Fried
94.8
Payton Tolle
96.1
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Max Fried
11.5%
Payton Tolle
15.4%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Max Fried
24.0%
Payton Tolle
28.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Max Fried
30.2%
Payton Tolle
36.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Max Fried
29.8%
Payton Tolle
34.5%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Max Fried
2.4%
Payton Tolle
6.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Max Fried
.246
Payton Tolle
.255
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Max Fried
2.233.49
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.21
2.51
Payton Tolle
2.233.49
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.61
2.70
WHIPlower is better
Max Fried
.9001.38
now 1.01
1.24
Payton Tolle
.9001.38
now 0.90
1.17

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Max Fried
4070
now 50
0
Payton Tolle
4070
now 46
0
Winshigher is better
Max Fried
.0005.60
now 4
0–0
Payton Tolle
.0005.60
now 2
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyMax Fried — buy.conf 0.92
BuyPayton Tolle — buy.conf 0.92
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