MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 29, 2026
Jared Jones
PIT · P
Change to
Max Fried
NYY · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
▶
◀
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Jared Jones wins 1 (WHIP); Max Fried wins 1 (ERA); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Jared Jones
98.2
Max Fried
94.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Jared Jones
16.1%
Max Fried
11.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Jared Jones
29.6%
Max Fried
24.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Jared Jones
32.8%
Max Fried
30.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Jared Jones
37.6%
Max Fried
29.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Jared Jones
7.4%
Max Fried
2.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Jared Jones
.276
Max Fried
.246
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Jared Jones
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 10.38
3.18
Max Fried
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.21
2.51
WHIPlower is better
Jared Jones
.9002.51
now 2.08
1.16
Max Fried
.9002.51
now 1.01
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Jared Jones
4070
now 6
0
Max Fried
4070
now 50
0
Winshigher is better
Jared Jones
.0005.60
now 0
0–0
Max Fried
.0005.60
now 4
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyJared Jones — buy.conf 0.88
BuyMax Fried — buy.conf 0.92
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