Rest of Season Projection
JesúsCategoryMax
114K ←83
3.44ERA →2.54
1.29WHIP ←1.31
4–8W4–9
0SV0
Current Season
JesúsCategoryMax
78K ←50
4.30ERA →3.21
1.31WHIP →1.01
4W4
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jesús Luzardo
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.44 sits 0.66 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.344 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Max Fried
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 2.54, 1.56 below league — production is earned
Jesús Luzardo: 116 K / 3.44 ERA. Max Fried: 84 K / 2.54 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).