Who's more valuable, rest of season
Jesús Luzardo.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and ERA. Parker Messick’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.
Head-to-head
◀
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
W
▶
SV n/a
Jesús Luzardo wins 2 categories (K, ERA); Parker Messick wins 1 (W); 1 even; SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Jesús Luzardo
97.1
Parker Messick
93.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Jesús Luzardo
15.0%
Parker Messick
12.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Jesús Luzardo
29.4%
Parker Messick
24.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Jesús Luzardo
33.3%
Parker Messick
31.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Jesús Luzardo
30.5%
Parker Messick
32.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Jesús Luzardo
5.3%
Parker Messick
5.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Jesús Luzardo
.269
Parker Messick
.281
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Jesús Luzardo
25.14
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.30
2.96
Parker Messick
25.14
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.21
3.23
WHIPlower is better
Jesús Luzardo
.9701.41
now 1.31
1.24
Parker Messick
.9701.41
now 1.07
1.24
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Jesús Luzardo
5784
now 78
65
Parker Messick
5784
now 74
63
Winshigher is better
Jesús Luzardo
.0009
now 4
2–5
Parker Messick
.0009
now 6
3–7
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowJesús Luzardo — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.77
Sell HighParker Messick — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.85