MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Portrait of Braxton Ashcraft
Braxton Ashcraft
PIT · P
Change to
Portrait of Parker Messick
Parker Messick
CLE · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Braxton Ashcraft.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts and WHIP.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Braxton Ashcraft wins 2 categories (K, WHIP); Parker Messick wins 1 (ERA); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Braxton Ashcraft
97.3
Parker Messick
94.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Braxton Ashcraft
13.3%
Parker Messick
12.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Braxton Ashcraft
25.9%
Parker Messick
26.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Braxton Ashcraft
37.0%
Parker Messick
31.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Braxton Ashcraft
41.6%
Parker Messick
32.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Braxton Ashcraft
6.2%
Parker Messick
5.0%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Braxton Ashcraft
.287
Parker Messick
.271
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Braxton Ashcraft
23.90
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.77
3.42
Parker Messick
23.90
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.21
3.03
WHIPlower is better
Braxton Ashcraft
.9601.22
now 1.03
1.14
Parker Messick
.9601.22
now 1.07
1.15

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Braxton Ashcraft
40107.80
now 81
15
Parker Messick
40107.80
now 74
14
Winshigher is better
Braxton Ashcraft
.0008
now 5
11
Parker Messick
.0008
now 6
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyBraxton Ashcraft — buy.conf 0.80
Sell HighParker Messick — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.85
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