Rest of Season Projection
MaxCategoryParker
81K →102
2.55ERA ←3.33
1.31WHIP →1.24
4–9W →5–12
0SV0
Current Season
MaxCategoryParker
50K →74
3.21ERA →2.21
1.01WHIP ←1.07
4W →6
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Max Fried
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 2.55, 1.55 below league — production is earned
Parker Messick
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.271 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.33 is 0.65 above the ERA — regression coming
Max Fried: 81 K / 2.55 ERA. Parker Messick: 102 K / 3.33 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).