MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 28, 2026
Max Fried
NYY · P
Change to
Portrait of Parker Messick
Parker Messick
CLE · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Max Fried wins 1 (ERA); Parker Messick wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Max Fried
94.8
Parker Messick
94.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Max Fried
11.5%
Parker Messick
12.5%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Max Fried
24.0%
Parker Messick
26.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Max Fried
30.2%
Parker Messick
31.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Max Fried
29.8%
Parker Messick
33.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Max Fried
2.4%
Parker Messick
4.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Max Fried
.246
Parker Messick
.272
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Max Fried
23.61
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.21
2.51
Parker Messick
23.61
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.21
3.08
WHIPlower is better
Max Fried
.9201.33
now 1.01
1.24
Parker Messick
.9201.33
now 1.07
1.15

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Max Fried
40103.60
now 50
0
Parker Messick
40103.60
now 74
0
Winshigher is better
Max Fried
.0008.40
now 4
0–0
Parker Messick
.0008.40
now 6
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
BuyMax Fried — buy.conf 0.92
Sell HighParker Messick — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.86
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