MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 4, 2026
133 PA · week 19
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Tommy Edman

data as of August 4, 2026·week 19
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.354); BABIP 0.375 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 1AVG .321R 0RBI 0SB 0

Edman is a hold — league average, stable, nothing pulling either way.

ROS projects HR 0 YTD → 1 ROS, AVG .000 YTD → .321 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %6.5%+1.9%vs his ~4.6% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.354)
  • babipNOISEBABIP 0.375 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo88.8 mph
88.8 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph −0.2 mphvs his norm —
92 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %38.0%
38.0%*
lg avg 40.0% −2.0%vs his norm —
92 / 50 BBE
Barrel %6.5%
norm6.5%*
lg avg 8.0% −1.5%vs his norm +1.9%
92 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.354
.354*
lg avg .315 +.039vs his norm —xwOBA is above the ~.315 league averageexpect it to fall.
133 / 160 PA
wOBA.364
.364*
lg avg .315 +.049vs his norm —wOBA is above the ~.315 league averageexpect it to fall.
133 / 200 PA
Strikeout %19.5%
19.5%*
lg avg 22.0% −2.5%vs his norm —
133 / 60 PA
Walk %7.5%
believable since Jul 317.5%*
lg avg 8.5% −1.0%vs his norm —
133 / 120 PA
BABIP.375
norm.375*
lg avg .295 +.080vs his norm +.117 BABIP is above his ~.258 normexpect it to fall.
92 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %10.6%
10.6%*
lg avg 11.0% −0.4%vs his norm —
133 / 50 PA
Chase %31.4%
31.4%*
lg avg 28.5% +2.9%vs his norm —
133 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 6.5%→5.2%signal1 HR — Barrel% 6.5% (signal) tempered to career ~4.6% → projected 5.2%.
BABIP 0.375→0.310 regressednoise.321 AVG — BABIP 0.375 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.301 (xBA 0.301) → 0.310.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~108 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~108 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 1 G) over ~108 projected PA.
rosterdeep.321 AVG

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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