205 PA · week 10
this weekBUY
last weekBUY
————————
Max Muncy
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10
Muncy is a buy — elite contact quality backing the production.
His expected wOBA is .393, which is .078 above the league average of .315, and he has cleared enough plate appearances to trust that number. His actual wOBA is .380, almost identical, so the production is earned — no BABIP noise inflating it. The batted-ball data is even more encouraging: his hard-hit rate has been stepping up across the sample and now sits at 48.8%, nearly nine points above league. He also barrels the ball at 17.6%, more than double the league average. He does strike out a bit more than average at 25.9%, but that is baked into his profile and does not undercut the contact quality. Both his hard-hit rate and expected wOBA are trending up. Buy.
Buy
high0.76
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.393, +0.078 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo91.1 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+2.1 mphtrustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL125 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %48.8%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+8.8%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL125 / 50 BBE
Barrel %17.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+9.6%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL125 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.393
lg avg .315 ▲+.078trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL205 / 160 PA
wOBA.380
lg avg .315 ▲+.065trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL205 / 200 PA
Strikeout %25.9%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+3.9%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL205 / 60 PA
Walk %12.7%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+4.2%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL205 / 120 PA
BABIP.279
lg avg .295 ▼−.016too early to trust
NOISE125 / 800 BIP