Rest of Season Projection
AustinCategoryMax
15HR →16
47R →65
50RBI ←35
5SB ←0
.210AVG →.235
Current Season
AustinCategoryMax
8HR →14
30R →39
32RBI ←21
3SB ←0
.209AVG →.253
What Each Player's System Trusts
Austin Riley
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.301)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
Max Muncy
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.388, +0.073 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Austin Riley: 15 HR / 47 R. Max Muncy: 16 HR / 65 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).