week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Blake Treinen
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (5.09); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 0ERA 3.70WHIP 1.24W 0–0SV 0–0
Treinen is a hold — league average, and the sample isn't there yet.
ROS projects K 18 YTD → 0 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %23.8%—−1.1% ▼vs his ~24.9% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.09)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed41.2%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+1.2%vs his norm —
85 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed10.6%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.6%vs his norm —
85 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.343
lg avg .315 ▲+.028vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
130 / 200 TBF
xERA5.09
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.99vs his norm —xERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
130 / 200 TBF
ERA3.64
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.46vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
29.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %23.8%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+1.8%vs his norm −1.1% ▼
130 / 70 TBF
Walk %10.0%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.0%vs his norm +0.7% ▲Walk % is above his ~9.3% norm — expect it to fall.
130 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.321
lg avg .295 ▲+.026vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
85 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %11.9%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.9%vs his norm —
130 / 60 TBF
Chase %34.6%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+6.1%vs his norm —
130 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo94.8 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+0.8 mphvs his norm —
494 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 23.8%→24.5%signal0 K — K% 23.8% (signal) lifted to career ~24.9% → projected 24.5% over ~0 remaining IP.
xERA 5.09noise3.70 ERA — xERA 5.09 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 18 IP.
BB% 10.0% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 10% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.298 gives a 1.40 skill WHIP, blended 0…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (setup)0-0 SV — role: setup, in the save mix only situationally.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.