week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Blake Treinen
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
ON THE 15-DAY IL
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (5.16); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 19ERA 3.70WHIP 1.24W 1–2SV 0–2
Treinen is a hold — league average, nothing to buy or sell.
ROS projects K 18 YTD → 19 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %25.0%—+0.1% ▲vs his ~24.9% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.16)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed42.2%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+2.2%vs his norm —
64 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed12.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+4.5%vs his norm —
64 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.348
lg avg .315 ▲+.033vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
100 / 200 TBF
xERA5.16
lg avg 4.10 ▲+1.06vs his norm —xERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
100 / 200 TBF
ERA3.52
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.58vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
23 / 200 IP
Strikeout %25.0%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+3.0%vs his norm +0.1% ▲
100 / 70 TBF
Walk %10.0%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.0%vs his norm +0.7% ▲Walk % is above his ~9.3% norm — expect it to fall.
100 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.311
lg avg .295 ▲+.016vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
64 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %12.3%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.3%vs his norm —
100 / 60 TBF
Chase %35.5%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+7.0%vs his norm —
100 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo94.6 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+0.6 mphvs his norm —
374 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 25.0%→25.0%signal19 K — K% 25.0% (signal) tempered to career ~24.9% → projected 25.0% over ~19 remaining…
xERA 5.16noise3.70 ERA — xERA 5.16 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 18 IP.
BB% 10.0% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 10% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.296 gives a 1.38 skill WHIP, blended 0…
run support + role1-2 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (setup)0-2 SV — role: setup, in the save mix only situationally.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.