MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Engraved portrait of Miguel Rojas
221 PA · week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Miguel Rojas

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
Hold · leans sell skill near league average (0.307); a hold that leans sell — skill sits a hair below league, nothing to chase.med 0.60
ROSAVG .266HR 0R 3RBI 3SB 0

Rojas is a hold — league-average bat, nothing unstable underneath.

His expected wOBA is .307, .008 below the league average of .315, and he has enough plate appearances for that number to be reliable. His actual wOBA is .305, essentially identical, so no luck stat is propping the line up or dragging it down. The contact is soft but the sample is real: 86.9 mph average exit velocity and a 35.2% hard-hit rate, both short of league, and that gap is what caps him. What keeps him afloat is the other end — he strikes out just 10.9% of the time against a league average of 22.0%, so he puts the ball in play where a lot of hitters simply don't. His expected wOBA has been stepping down across the sample. Nothing here is unstable enough to trade against. Hold. A 0 HR / 3 R / 3 RBI / .266 AVG line is deep-league rotational only — hold as a streamer, not an asset.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %4.9%+1.8%vs his ~3.1% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.307)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo86.9 mph
86.9 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph −2.1 mphvs his norm —
182 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %35.2%
35.2%*
lg avg 40.0% −4.8%vs his norm —
182 / 50 BBE
Barrel %4.9%
norm4.9%*
lg avg 8.0% −3.1%vs his norm +1.8%
182 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.307
believable since Jul 21.307*
lg avg .315 −.008vs his norm —
221 / 160 PA
wOBA.305
.305*
lg avg .315 −.010vs his norm —
221 / 200 PA
Strikeout %10.9%
10.9%*
lg avg 22.0% −11.1%vs his norm —
221 / 60 PA
Walk %5.9%
5.9%*
lg avg 8.5% −2.6%vs his norm —
221 / 120 PA
BABIP.282
norm.282*
lg avg .295 −.013vs his norm +.002 BABIP is above his ~.280 normexpect it to fall.
182 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %8.2%
8.2%*
lg avg 11.0% −2.8%vs his norm —
221 / 50 PA
Chase %32.7%
32.7%*
lg avg 28.5% +4.2%vs his norm —
221 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 4.9%→3.9%signal0 HR — Barrel% 4.9% (signal) tempered to career ~3.1% → projected 3.9%.
BABIP 0.282→0.301 regressednoise.266 AVG — BABIP 0.282 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.307 (xBA 0.278) → 0.301.
on-base + lineup3 R — his run rate over ~33 projected PA.
slugging + lineup3 RBI — his RBI rate over ~33 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 37 G) over ~33 projected PA.
rosterdeeprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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