157 PA · week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Miguel Rojas
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.326); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 2AVG .283R 12RBI 13SB 0
Rojas is a hold — league-average with no edge either way.
ROS projects HR 1 YTD → 2 ROS, AVG .261 YTD → .283 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %7.0%—+3.9% ▲vs his ~3.1% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.326)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.7 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.3 mphvs his norm —
129 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %38.0%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−2.0%vs his norm —
129 / 50 BBE
Barrel %7.0%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.0%vs his norm +3.9% ▲
129 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.326
lg avg .315 ▲+.011vs his norm —xwOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
157 / 160 PA
wOBA.328
lg avg .315 ▲+.013vs his norm —wOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
157 / 200 PA
Strikeout %10.2%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−11.8%vs his norm —
157 / 60 PA
Walk %6.4%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−2.1%vs his norm —
157 / 120 PA
BABIP.298
lg avg .295 ▲+.003vs his norm +.018 ▲BABIP is above his ~.280 norm — expect it to fall.
129 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %7.8%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−3.2%vs his norm —
157 / 50 PA
Chase %31.5%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+3.0%vs his norm —
157 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 7.0%→4.6%signal2 HR — Barrel% 7.0% (signal) tempered to career ~3.1% → projected 4.6%.
BABIP 0.298→0.316 regressednoise.283 AVG — BABIP 0.298 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.320 (xBA 0.289) → 0.316.
on-base + lineup12 R — his run rate over ~147 projected PA.
slugging + lineup13 RBI — his RBI rate over ~147 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 37 G) over ~147 projected PA.
rosterdeeprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.