week 25
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Evan Phillips
data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (4.69); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 8ERA 3.70WHIP 1.24W 0–0SV 0
Phillips is a hold — league average, nothing pulling either way
ROS projects K 2 YTD → 8 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %27.9%—−0.1% ▼vs his ~28.0% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.69)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed41.1%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+1.1%vs his norm —
56 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed16.1%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+8.1%vs his norm —Barrel % Allowed is above the ~8.0% league average — expect it to fall.
56 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.332
lg avg .315 ▲+.017vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
86 / 200 TBF
xERA4.69
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.59vs his norm —xERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
86 / 200 TBF
ERA3.48
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.62vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
20.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %27.9%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+5.9%vs his norm −0.1% ▼
86 / 70 TBF
Walk %5.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.2%vs his norm −3.0% ▼Walk % is below his ~8.8% norm — expect it to rise.
86 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.288
lg avg .295 ▼−.007vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
56 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %11.5%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.5%vs his norm —
86 / 60 TBF
Chase %33.7%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+5.2%vs his norm —
86 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo96.7 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+2.7 mphvs his norm —
339 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 27.9%→28.0%signal8 K — K% 27.9% (signal) held to career ~28.0% → projected 28.0% over ~4 remaining IP.
xERA 4.69noise3.70 ERA — xERA 4.69 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 1 IP.
BB% 5.8% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 6% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.294 gives a 1.15 skill WHIP, blended 0%…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)0 SV — role: middle, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.