week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Evan Phillips
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (4.38); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 0ERA 3.70WHIP 1.24W 0–0SV 0
Phillips is a hold — middle of the road, nothing unstable underneath.
ROS projects K 2 YTD → 0 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %31.1%—+3.1% ▲vs his ~28.0% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.38)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed39.4%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−0.6%vs his norm —
66 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed16.7%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+8.7%vs his norm —
66 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.321
lg avg .315 ▲+.006vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
106 / 200 TBF
xERA4.38
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.28vs his norm —xERA is above the ~4.10 league average — expect it to fall.
106 / 200 TBF
ERA3.46
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.64vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
26 / 200 IP
Strikeout %31.1%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+9.1%vs his norm +3.1% ▲
106 / 70 TBF
Walk %5.7%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.3%vs his norm −3.1% ▼Walk % is below his ~8.8% norm — expect it to rise.
106 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.279
lg avg .295 ▼−.016vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
66 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %13.0%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+2.0%vs his norm —
106 / 60 TBF
Chase %35.4%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+6.9%vs his norm —
106 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo96.9 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+2.9 mphvs his norm —
423 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 31.1%→29.1%signal0 K — K% 31.1% (signal) tempered to career ~28.0% → projected 29.1% over ~0 remaining IP.
xERA 4.38noise3.70 ERA — xERA 4.38 (noise) blended 0% skill / 100% league 3.70 at 1 IP.
BB% 5.7% + contactnoise1.24 WHIP — a 6% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.294 gives a 1.09 skill WHIP, blended 0%…
run support + role0-0 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (middle)0 SV — role: middle, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep3.70 ERA, 1.24 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.