137 PA · week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekSELL-HIGH
Hunter Feduccia
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
flipped from SELL-HIGH on July 18, 2026
Hold · wait & see strikeout rate 29% is stable and high, caps the floor — skill near league average (0.306); BABIP 0.329 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 3AVG .221R 14RBI 10SB 0
Feduccia is a hold — league average, capped by whiff trouble.
ROS projects HR 1 YTD → 3 ROS, AVG .269 YTD → .221 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %8.4%—+0.2% ▲vs his ~8.2% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.306)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.329 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo90.5 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+1.5 mphvs his norm —
83 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %37.8%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−2.2%vs his norm —
83 / 50 BBE
Barrel %8.4%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.4%vs his norm +0.2% ▲
83 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.306
lg avg .315 ▼−.009vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
137 / 160 PA
wOBA.290
lg avg .315 ▼−.025vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
137 / 200 PA
Strikeout %29.2%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+7.2%vs his norm —
137 / 60 PA
Walk %9.5%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+1.0%vs his norm —
137 / 120 PA
BABIP.329
lg avg .295 ▲+.034vs his norm +.099 ▲BABIP is above his ~.230 norm — expect it to fall.
83 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %11.4%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.4%vs his norm —
137 / 50 PA
Chase %26.4%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−2.1%vs his norm —
137 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 8.4%→8.3%signal3 HR — Barrel% 8.4% (signal) tempered to career ~8.2% → projected 8.3%.
BABIP 0.329→0.324 regressednoise.221 AVG — BABIP 0.329 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.323 (xBA 0.231) → 0.324.
on-base + lineup14 R — his run rate over ~138 projected PA.
slugging + lineup10 RBI — his RBI rate over ~138 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 33 G) over ~138 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.