week 18
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Tyler Glasnow
data as of July 28, 2026·week 18
ON THE 60-DAY IL
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (2.60); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 53ERA 3.83WHIP 1.27W 2–5SV 0
Glasnow is a hold — elite stuff but limited data to trust the ERA.
ROS projects K 49 YTD → 53 ROS, ERA 2.72 YTD → 3.83 ROS, WHIP 0.83 YTD → 1.27 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %33.1%—+2.1% ▲vs his ~31.0% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.60)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed38.4%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−1.6%vs his norm —
86 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed8.1%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.1%vs his norm —
86 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.252
lg avg .315 ▼−.063vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
148 / 200 TBF
xERA2.60
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.50vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
148 / 200 TBF
ERA2.72
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.38vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
39.7 / 200 IP
Strikeout %33.1%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+11.1%vs his norm +2.1% ▲
148 / 70 TBF
Walk %8.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.8%vs his norm −0.6% ▼Walk % is below his ~9.4% norm — expect it to rise.
148 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.185
lg avg .295 ▼−.110vs his norm —BABIP Against is below the ~.295 league average — expect it to rise.
86 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %12.8%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.8%vs his norm —
148 / 60 TBF
Chase %29.4%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+0.9%vs his norm —
148 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo95.3 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▲+1.3 mphvs his norm —
599 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 33.1%→31.9%signal53 K — K% 33.1% (signal) tempered to career ~31.0% → projected 31.9% over ~45 remaining…
xERA 2.60noise3.83 ERA — xERA 2.60 (noise) blended 18% skill / 82% league 4.10 at 40 IP.
BB% 8.8% + contactnoise1.27 WHIP — a 9% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.283 gives a 1.14 skill WHIP, blended 18…
run support + role2-5 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (starter)0 SV — role: starter, not in the save mix.
rosterdeep53 K ROS, 3.83 ERA
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.