MLB Daily DeltaWeek 31 · October 26, 2026
Engraved portrait of Dalton Rushing
253 PA · week 31
this weekBUY
last weekHOLD

Dalton Rushing

LAD·C
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
flipped from HOLD on October 26, 2026
Buy stable xwOBA 0.336, +0.021 vs league, production is earned; elite, already-stable contact quality; strikeout rate 29% is stable and high, caps the floor; add now.med 0.64
ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0

Rushing is a buy — the contact is climbing and the sample backs it.

His hard-hit rate is 43.7%, nearly four points above league average, and it has been stepping up across the sample. That contact quality is past the point where it becomes reliable at 151 batted balls. The expected wOBA is .336, .021 above league, and it is climbing too. His actual wOBA of .344 runs right with it, so no luck is inflating the line. He strikes out 29.2% of the time — well above league — and that rate is also rising, which will hold his batting average down in stretches. The strikeouts cap the floor; they do not touch the skill underneath. This is a bat earning its production, not borrowing it. Buy.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %11.9%—−2.1% ▼vs his ~14.0% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.336, +0.021 vs league — production is earned
  • hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
  • k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 29% is stable and high — caps the floor
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo89.5 mph
89.5 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+0.5 mphvs his norm —
151 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %43.7%
43.7%*
lg avg 40.0% ▲+3.7%vs his norm —
151 / 50 BBE
Barrel %11.9%
normbelievable since May 3111.9%*
lg avg 8.0% ▲+3.9%vs his norm −2.1% ▼
151 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.336
.336*
lg avg .315 ▲+.021vs his norm —
253 / 160 PA
wOBA.344
.344*
lg avg .315 ▲+.029vs his norm —
253 / 200 PA
Strikeout %29.2%
29.2%*
lg avg 22.0% ▲+7.2%vs his norm —
253 / 60 PA
Walk %9.1%
9.1%*
lg avg 8.5% ▲+0.6%vs his norm —
253 / 120 PA
BABIP.309
norm.309*
lg avg .295 ▲+.014vs his norm +.004 ▲BABIP is above his ~.305 norm — expect it to fall.
151 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %15.6%
15.6%*
lg avg 11.0% ▲+4.6%vs his norm —
253 / 50 PA
Chase %30.4%
30.4%*
lg avg 28.5% ▲+1.9%vs his norm —
253 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 11.9%→13.1%signal0 HR — Barrel% 11.9% (signal) lifted to career ~14.0% → projected 13.1%.
BABIP 0.309→0.264 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.309 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.254 (xBA 0.249) → 0.264.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 31 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

Tweet
Compare with

Comparisons

head-to-head matchups