627 PA · week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Kyle Tucker
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Hold · leans buy skill near league average (0.331); a hold that leans buy — skill sits a hair above league, worth watching.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0
Tucker is a hold — league-average skill with no luck story
ROS projects HR 4 YTD → 0 ROS, AVG .238 YTD → .000 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %6.3%—−4.8% ▼vs his ~11.1% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.331)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo88.5 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−0.5 mphvs his norm —
441 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %36.3%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−3.7%vs his norm —
441 / 50 BBE
Barrel %6.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.7%vs his norm −4.8% ▼
441 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.331
lg avg .315 ▲+.016vs his norm —
627 / 160 PA
wOBA.318
lg avg .315 ▲+.003vs his norm —
627 / 200 PA
Strikeout %16.7%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−5.3%vs his norm —
627 / 60 PA
Walk %12.4%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+3.9%vs his norm —
627 / 120 PA
BABIP.257
lg avg .295 ▼−.038vs his norm −.028 ▼BABIP is below his ~.285 norm — expect it to rise.
441 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %10.1%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−0.9%vs his norm —
627 / 50 PA
Chase %23.9%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−4.6%vs his norm —
627 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 6.3%→7.8%signal0 HR — Barrel% 6.3% (signal) lifted to career ~11.1% → projected 7.8%.
BABIP 0.257→0.275 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.257 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.297 (xBA 0.256) → 0.275.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (4 in 57 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.