Rest of Season Projection
BrandonCategoryKyle
10HR →11
47R →54
39RBI39
6SB6
.304AVG ←.256
Current Season
BrandonCategoryKyle
5HR ←4
29R →37
24RBI →27
4SB4
.317AVG ←.238
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brandon Marsh
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.411 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.337 is 0.031 below the surface — regression coming
Kyle Tucker
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.330)
Brandon Marsh: 10 HR / 47 R. Kyle Tucker: 11 HR / 54 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).