Rest of Season Projection
BrandonCategoryCorbin
10HR →14
47R →55
39RBI →42
7SB →10
.305AVG ←.268
Current Season
BrandonCategoryCorbin
5HR →7
29R →37
24RBI →28
4SB →7
.317AVG ←.286
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brandon Marsh
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.337, +0.022 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Corbin Carroll
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.348 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.362 is 0.040 below the surface — regression coming
Brandon Marsh: 10 HR / 47 R. Corbin Carroll: 14 HR / 55 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).