Rest of Season Projection
CodyCategoryCorbin
10HR →14
56R →57
58RBI ←43
8SB →11
.274AVG ←.266
Current Season
CodyCategoryCorbin
8HR ←7
37R37
38RBI ←28
5SB →7
.271AVG →.286
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cody Bellinger
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.375, +0.060 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Corbin Carroll
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.351 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.364 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
Cody Bellinger: 10 HR / 56 R. Corbin Carroll: 14 HR / 57 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).