
562 PA · week 31
this weekBUY
last weekBUY
Cody Bellinger
data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
Buy stable xwOBA 0.335, +0.020 vs league, production is earned; elite, already-stable contact quality; add now.med 0.64 (narrative held for review)
ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0
Bellinger is a buy — the production is earned, not lucky.
Stable, above-average skill with no luck propping it up. Buy.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %6.5%—−0.2% ▼vs his ~6.7% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.335, +0.020 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo89.2 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+0.2 mphvs his norm —
414 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %37.8%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−2.2%vs his norm —
414 / 50 BBE
Barrel %6.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.5%vs his norm −0.2% ▼
414 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.335
lg avg .315 ▲+.020vs his norm —
562 / 160 PA
wOBA.336
lg avg .315 ▲+.021vs his norm —
562 / 200 PA
Strikeout %15.8%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−6.2%vs his norm —
562 / 60 PA
Walk %10.5%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+2.0%vs his norm —
562 / 120 PA
BABIP.287
lg avg .295 ▼−.008vs his norm −.005 ▼BABIP is below his ~.292 norm — expect it to rise.
414 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %9.4%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−1.6%vs his norm —
562 / 50 PA
Chase %30.3%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+1.8%vs his norm —
562 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 6.5%→6.6%signal0 HR — Barrel% 6.5% (signal) held to career ~6.7% → projected 6.6%.
BABIP 0.287→0.284 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.287 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.280 (xBA 0.271) → 0.284.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (5 in 58 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.