Is Cody Bellinger a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Hold — mixed signals; no compelling reason to add or drop right now.

What is Cody Bellinger's rest-of-season outlook?

Roughly league-average with nothing unstable driving it. Hold.

403 PA · week 17

this weekHOLD

last weekBUY

Cody Bellinger

NYY·LF

data as of July 18, 2026·week 17

flipped from BUY on July 18, 2026

Hold · leans buy skill near league average (0.352); a hold that leans buy — skill sits a hair above league, worth watching.med 0.60 (narrative held for review)

ROSAVG .253HR 3R 29RBI 30SB 4

Bellinger is a hold — league average, steady state, no edge.

ROS projects HR 8 YTD → 3 ROS, AVG .271 YTD → .253 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.

VS His Norm

Barrel %6.5%—−0.2% ▼vs his ~6.7% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.352)

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo88.9 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−0.1 mphvs his norm —

292 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %36.8%

lg avg 40.0% ▼−3.2%vs his norm —

292 / 50 BBE

Barrel %6.5%

lg avg 8.0% ▼−1.5%vs his norm −0.2% ▼

292 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.352

lg avg .315 ▲+.037vs his norm —

403 / 160 PA

wOBA.337

lg avg .315 ▲+.022vs his norm —

403 / 200 PA

Strikeout %14.9%

lg avg 22.0% ▼−7.1%vs his norm —

403 / 60 PA

Walk %12.7%

lg avg 8.5% ▲+4.2%vs his norm —

403 / 120 PA

BABIP.274

lg avg .295 ▼−.021vs his norm −.018 ▼BABIP is below his ~.292 norm — expect it to rise.

292 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %8.9%

lg avg 11.0% ▼−2.1%vs his norm —

403 / 50 PA

Chase %29.5%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+1.0%vs his norm —

403 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 6.5%→6.6%signal3 HR — Barrel% 6.5% (signal) held to career ~6.7% → projected 6.6%.

BABIP 0.274→0.283 regressednoise.253 AVG — BABIP 0.274 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.288 (xBA 0.277) → 0.283.

on-base + lineup29 R — his run rate over ~198 projected PA.

slugging + lineup30 RBI — his RBI rate over ~198 projected PA.

run rate / role4 SB — his steal rate (5 in 58 G) over ~198 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons