Rest of Season Projection
ByronCategoryCorbin
21HR ←14
63R ←57
43RBI43
8SB →11
.216AVG →.266
Current Season
ByronCategoryCorbin
17HR ←7
40R ←37
27RBI →28
5SB →7
.258AVG →.286
What Each Player's System Trusts
Byron Buxton
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.326)
Corbin Carroll
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.351 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.364 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
Byron Buxton: 21 HR / 63 R. Corbin Carroll: 14 HR / 57 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).