240 PA · week 10
this weekBUY
last weekBUY
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Corbin Carroll
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10
Carroll is a buy — elite contact, no luck needed.
His expected wOBA is .366, .051 above league, with 240 PAs making it reliable. The actual wOBA is .394, close enough to confirm the skill is real — no BABIP mirage. His contact quality is elite and getting better: 91.5 mph exit velocity, 49.7% hard-hit, 12.9% barrels, all well above league and past stabilization. The hard-hit rate has stepped up across the sample, and the xwOBA has followed. Striking out at a league-average rate and walking 12.5% of the time. The bat is the story. Buy.
Buy
med0.70
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.366, +0.051 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo91.5 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+2.5 mphtrustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL155 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %49.7%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+9.7%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL155 / 50 BBE
Barrel %12.9%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+4.9%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL155 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.366
lg avg .315 ▲+.051trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL240 / 160 PA
wOBA.394
lg avg .315 ▲+.079trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL240 / 200 PA
Strikeout %22.1%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+0.1%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL240 / 60 PA
Walk %12.5%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+4.0%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL240 / 120 PA
BABIP.351
lg avg .295 ▲+.056too early to trust
NOISE155 / 800 BIP