Rest of Season Projection
CorbinCategoryPete
14HR14
57R ←51
43RBI ←40
11SB →19
.266AVG ←.246
Current Season
CorbinCategoryPete
7HR7
37R ←33
28RBI ←26
7SB →12
.286AVG ←.237
What Each Player's System Trusts
Corbin Carroll
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.351 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.364 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
Pete Crow-Armstrong
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.346, +0.031 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Corbin Carroll: 14 HR / 57 R. Pete Crow-Armstrong: 14 HR / 51 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).