Rest of Season Projection
CorbinCategoryMichael
14HR →17
57R ←46
43RBI →59
11SB ←5
.266AVG →.297
Current Season
CorbinCategoryMichael
7HR →13
37R ←28
28RBI →36
7SB ←3
.286AVG →.307
What Each Player's System Trusts
Corbin Carroll
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.351 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.364 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
Michael Harris II
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.391, +0.076 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Corbin Carroll: 14 HR / 57 R. Michael Harris II: 17 HR / 46 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).