Is Michael Harris II a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Buy — stable, above-average metrics signal genuine skill. Good ROS add target.

What is Michael Harris II's rest-of-season outlook?

48% hard-hit with a 19.9% K rate — real growth.

553 PA · week 25

this weekBUY

last weekBUY

Michael Harris II

ATL·CF

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25

Buy stable xwOBA 0.340, +0.025 vs league, production is earned; elite, already-stable contact quality — BABIP 0.324 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; add now.med 0.65

ROSAVG .263HR 1R 5RBI 7SB 1

Harris is a buy — earned production, with a little BABIP to give back.

His expected wOBA is .340, .025 above the league average of .315, and he has 553 plate appearances, well past the point where that number becomes reliable. The contact quality underneath it is climbing: his hard-hit rate is 48.2% against a league average of 40.0%, his barrel rate is 10.5% against 8.0%, and both his hard-hit and expected-wOBA lines have stepped up across the sample. His actual wOBA of .346 tracks his expected mark almost exactly, so the line is earned. There is one caveat. His BABIP is .324, above the league average of .295, and it is not reliable yet at 421 balls in play against the 800 it needs. Some of his batting average will give back when that number settles. The skill does not. Buy. Just 1 HR / 5 R / 7 RBI / 1 SB / .263 AVG rest of way — a deep-league counting play, not a cornerstore asset.

VS His Norm

Barrel %10.5%—+0.9% ▲vs his ~9.6% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.340, +0.025 vs league — production is earned
hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
babipNOISEBABIP 0.324 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo90.4 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+1.4 mphvs his norm —

421 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %48.2%

lg avg 40.0% ▲+8.2%vs his norm —

421 / 50 BBE

Barrel %10.5%

lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.5%vs his norm +0.9% ▲

421 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.340

lg avg .315 ▲+.025vs his norm —

553 / 160 PA

wOBA.346

lg avg .315 ▲+.031vs his norm —

553 / 200 PA

Strikeout %19.9%

lg avg 22.0% ▼−2.1%vs his norm —

553 / 60 PA

Walk %3.6%

lg avg 8.5% ▼−4.9%vs his norm —

553 / 120 PA

BABIP.324

lg avg .295 ▲+.029vs his norm +.020 ▲BABIP is above his ~.304 norm — expect it to fall.

421 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %13.9%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+2.9%vs his norm —

553 / 50 PA

Chase %44.6%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+16.1%vs his norm —

553 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 10.5%→10.2%signal1 HR — Barrel% 10.5% (signal) tempered to career ~9.6% → projected 10.2%.

BABIP 0.324→0.312 regressednoise.263 AVG — BABIP 0.324 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.298 (xBA 0.286) → 0.312.

on-base + lineup5 R — his run rate over ~41 projected PA.

slugging + lineup7 RBI — his RBI rate over ~41 projected PA.

run rate / role1 SB — his steal rate (3 in 57 G) over ~41 projected PA.

rosterdeeprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons