Is Michael Harris II a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Buy — stable, above-average metrics signal genuine skill. Good ROS add target.

What is Michael Harris II's rest-of-season outlook?

47.6% hard-hit with a 19.2% K rate — real skill

621 PA · week 31

this weekBUY

last weekBUY

Michael Harris II

ATL·CF

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31

Buy stable xwOBA 0.342, +0.027 vs league, production is earned; elite, already-stable contact quality — BABIP 0.330 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; add now.med 0.65

ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0

Harris is a buy — the contact is climbing and the skill is real

His hard-hit rate has been stepping up across the season and now sits at 47.6%, nearly eight points above the league average of 40.0%, with 477 batted balls behind it — well past the point where contact quality becomes reliable. That rise shows up in his expected wOBA too, .342 against a league average of .315, and it has been climbing in the same direction. He is not striking out his way to it either: 19.2% is below the league's 22.0%. His BABIP of .330 against a .295 league mark will give some batting average back, since 477 balls in play is well short of the roughly 800 needed to trust that number. The swing decisions are rough — a 45.1% chase rate and 13.9% swinging strikes — but the bat is earning its line. Buy.

VS His Norm

Barrel %10.3%—+0.7% ▲vs his ~9.6% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.342, +0.027 vs league — production is earned
hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
babipNOISEBABIP 0.330 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo90.5 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+1.5 mphvs his norm —

477 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %47.6%

lg avg 40.0% ▲+7.6%vs his norm —

477 / 50 BBE

Barrel %10.3%

lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.3%vs his norm +0.7% ▲

477 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.342

lg avg .315 ▲+.027vs his norm —

621 / 160 PA

wOBA.349

lg avg .315 ▲+.034vs his norm —

621 / 200 PA

Strikeout %19.2%

lg avg 22.0% ▼−2.8%vs his norm —

621 / 60 PA

Walk %3.7%

lg avg 8.5% ▼−4.8%vs his norm —

621 / 120 PA

BABIP.330

lg avg .295 ▲+.035vs his norm +.026 ▲BABIP is above his ~.304 norm — expect it to fall.

477 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %13.9%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+2.9%vs his norm —

621 / 50 PA

Chase %45.1%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+16.6%vs his norm —

621 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 10.3%→10.1%signal0 HR — Barrel% 10.3% (signal) tempered to career ~9.6% → projected 10.1%.

BABIP 0.330→0.319 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.330 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.303 (xBA 0.290) → 0.319.

on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.

slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.

run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (3 in 57 G) over ~0 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons