Is Michael Harris II a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Buy — stable, above-average metrics signal genuine skill. Good ROS add target.

What is Michael Harris II's rest-of-season outlook?

Hard-hit rate 51%, barrels 12.9% — elite contact.

353 PA · week 17

this weekBUY

last weekBUY

Michael Harris II

ATL·CF

data as of July 18, 2026·week 17

Buy stable xwOBA 0.363, +0.048 vs league, production is earned; elite, already-stable contact quality — BABIP 0.336 sits above league and is not yet stable, expect some of the average to regress; add now.med 0.70

ROSHR 6AVG .280R 24RBI 31SB 3

Harris is a buy — contact quality is real, BABIP is a bonus.

His hard-hit rate is 51.0%, 11 points above league average, and it has been stepping up across the season. That number is stable at 263 batted balls — well past the 50 BBE threshold where contact quality becomes reliable. His expected wOBA of .363, .048 above league, confirms the production is earned and climbing. His actual wOBA of .352 is close but held back by a .336 BABIP that is elevated and still noisy at 263 BIP of 800 needed. Some of that BABIP will likely regress, but the contact quality is stable and elite. He strikes out near league average and walks less than average. The bat is real. Buy. 6 HR, 24 R, 31 RBI, 3 SB, .280 AVG — name the deep-league asset with elite contact that will still reward you.

VS His Norm

Barrel %12.9%—+3.3% ▲vs his ~9.6% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.363, +0.048 vs league — production is earned
hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
babipNOISEBABIP 0.336 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo91.7 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+2.7 mphvs his norm —

263 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %51.0%

lg avg 40.0% ▲+11.0%vs his norm —

263 / 50 BBE

Barrel %12.9%

lg avg 8.0% ▲+4.9%vs his norm +3.3% ▲

263 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.363

lg avg .315 ▲+.048vs his norm —

353 / 160 PA

wOBA.352

lg avg .315 ▲+.037vs his norm —

353 / 200 PA

Strikeout %20.7%

lg avg 22.0% ▼−1.3%vs his norm —

353 / 60 PA

Walk %4.2%

lg avg 8.5% ▼−4.3%vs his norm —

353 / 120 PA

BABIP.336

lg avg .295 ▲+.041vs his norm +.032 ▲BABIP is above his ~.304 norm — expect it to fall.

263 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %14.5%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+3.5%vs his norm —

353 / 50 PA

Chase %44.8%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+16.3%vs his norm —

353 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 12.9%→11.5%signal6 HR — Barrel% 12.9% (signal) tempered to career ~9.6% → projected 11.5%.

BABIP 0.336→0.322 regressednoise.280 AVG — BABIP 0.336 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.315 (xBA 0.299) → 0.322.

on-base + lineup24 R — his run rate over ~185 projected PA.

slugging + lineup31 RBI — his RBI rate over ~185 projected PA.

run rate / role3 SB — his steal rate (3 in 57 G) over ~185 projected PA.

rosterdeeprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons