250 PA · week 10
this weekBUY
last weekBUY
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Pete Crow-Armstrong
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10
Crow-Armstrong is a buy — elite contact is the real story.
His hard-hit rate has climbed across the sample and now sits at 50.3%, well above the league average of 40.0%. That is based on 157 batted balls — past the stabilization point, so this contact quality is reliable. His average exit velocity (91.8 mph) and barrel rate (10.2%) support the same story: he is barreling the ball consistently. His expected wOBA is .345, .030 above league average, and has been trending up. His actual wOBA is .320, a bit lower, and his BABIP is likely the drag — that gives room for the surface line to catch up to the underlying skill. The strikeout rate (25.6%) is a touch above league but not extreme enough to cap his ceiling. The bat is real and trending in the right direction.
Buy
med0.66
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.345, +0.030 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo91.8 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+2.8 mphtrustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL157 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %50.3%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+10.3%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL157 / 50 BBE
Barrel %10.2%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+2.2%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL157 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.345
lg avg .315 ▲+.030trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL250 / 160 PA
wOBA.320
lg avg .315 ▲+.005trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL250 / 200 PA
Strikeout %25.6%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+3.6%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL250 / 60 PA
Walk %8.8%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+0.3%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL250 / 120 PA
BABIP.302
lg avg .295 ▲+.007too early to trust
NOISE157 / 800 BIP