Rest of Season Projection
BrandonCategoryJulio
10HR →15
49R49
40RBI →45
7SB →8
.302AVG ←.252
Current Season
BrandonCategoryJulio
5HR →12
29R →32
24RBI →30
4SB →5
.317AVG ←.259
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brandon Marsh
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.407 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.335 is 0.032 below the surface — regression coming
Julio Rodríguez
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.339, +0.024 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Marsh leads .302 AVG vs Rodríguez's .252, but trails 15 HR to 10. The sell-high verdict on Marsh and buy on Rodríguez reveal diverging value paths.