Rest of Season Projection
JacksonCategoryJulio
12HR →14
36R →46
31RBI →43
14SB ←7
.251AVG ←.249
Current Season
JacksonCategoryJulio
2HR →12
13R →32
11RBI →30
5SB5
.276AVG ←.259
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jackson Chourio
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.403 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaNOISEluck-free skill 0.349 is 0.036 below the surface — regression coming
Julio Rodríguez
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.337, +0.022 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Jackson Chourio: 12 HR / 36 R. Julio Rodríguez: 14 HR / 46 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).