Rest of Season Projection
JarrenCategoryJulio
12HR →15
45R →49
51RBI ←45
16SB ←8
.219AVG →.252
Current Season
JarrenCategoryJulio
10HR →12
29R →32
33RBI ←30
10SB ←5
.219AVG →.259
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jarren Duran
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.308)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 28% is stable and high — caps the floor
Julio Rodríguez
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.339, +0.024 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Jarren Duran: 12 HR / 45 R. Julio Rodríguez: 15 HR / 49 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).