MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Jarren Duran
Jarren Duran
BOS · LF
Change to
Portrait of Julio Rodríguez
Julio Rodríguez
SEA · CF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Jarren Duran.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — RBI and steals. Julio Rodríguez’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Jarren Duran wins 2 categories (RBI, SB); Julio Rodríguez wins 1 (AVG); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Jarren Duran
89.5
Julio Rodríguez
90.2
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Jarren Duran
38.2%
Julio Rodríguez
44.4%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Jarren Duran
11.3%
Julio Rodríguez
9.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Jarren Duran
34.6%
Julio Rodríguez
39.2%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Jarren Duran
17.4%
Julio Rodríguez
14.2%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Jarren Duran
.295
Julio Rodríguez
.350
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Jarren Duran
.200.280
lg AVG .295
now .219
.200
Julio Rodríguez
.200.280
lg AVG .295
now .259
.253

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Jarren Duran
514.80
now 10
5
Julio Rodríguez
514.80
now 12
5
Runshigher is better
Jarren Duran
20.8035.20
now 29
24
Julio Rodríguez
20.8035.20
now 32
24
RBIhigher is better
Jarren Duran
2037.40
now 33
27
Julio Rodríguez
2037.40
now 30
22
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Jarren Duran
1.6012.40
now 10
8
Julio Rodríguez
1.6012.40
now 5
4
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowJarren Duran — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.66
BuyJulio Rodríguez — buy.conf 0.67
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