Rest of Season Projection
JulioCategoryRiley
15HR →16
49R ←48
45RBI ←44
8SB ←2
.252AVG →.274
Current Season
JulioCategoryRiley
12HR ←5
32R ←31
30RBI ←28
5SB ←1
.259AVG →.309
What Each Player's System Trusts
Julio Rodríguez
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.339, +0.024 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Riley Greene
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.360, +0.045 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 28% is stable and high — caps the floor
Julio Rodríguez: 15 HR / 49 R. Riley Greene: 16 HR / 48 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).

