Rest of Season Projection
RileyCategoryWilyer
16HR16
48R ←40
44RBI ←37
2SB →6
.274AVG →.282
Current Season
RileyCategoryWilyer
5HR →6
31R ←26
28RBI ←24
1SB →4
.309AVG ←.284
What Each Player's System Trusts
Riley Greene
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.360, +0.045 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 28% is stable and high — caps the floor
Wilyer Abreu
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.349, +0.034 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Riley Greene: 16 HR / 48 R. Wilyer Abreu: 16 HR / 40 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).