Rest of Season Projection
BryanCategoryCorbin
12HR →14
60R ←57
58RBI ←43
6SB →11
.256AVG →.266
Current Season
BryanCategoryCorbin
6HR →7
39R ←37
38RBI ←28
4SB →7
.276AVG →.286
What Each Player's System Trusts
Bryan Reynolds
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.371, +0.056 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Corbin Carroll
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.351 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.364 is 0.034 below the surface — regression coming
Bryan Reynolds: 12 HR / 60 R. Corbin Carroll: 14 HR / 57 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).