258 PA · week 10
this weekBUY
last weekBUY
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Bryan Reynolds
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10
Reynolds is a buy — elite contact, upward trajectory.
Hard-hit rate is 43.9%, nearly four points above league average, and it has been stepping up across the sample. At 157 batted balls, that number is reliable. The same goes for his barrel rate and exit velocity: contact quality is clearly above average. Those skills are translating: his expected wOBA is .370, 55 points above league, and his actual wOBA tracks right with it at .376 — no luck inflating the line. His walk rate is nearly double the league average at 16.3%, and the strikeout rate is slightly below. The bat has been trending up; the market may not have fully priced the shift yet. Buy.
Buy
med0.71
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.370, +0.055 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo91.0 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+2.0 mphtrustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL157 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %43.9%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+3.9%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL157 / 50 BBE
Barrel %8.9%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+0.9%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL157 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.370
lg avg .315 ▲+.055trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL258 / 160 PA
wOBA.376
lg avg .315 ▲+.061trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL258 / 200 PA
Strikeout %21.3%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−0.7%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL258 / 60 PA
Walk %16.3%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+7.8%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL258 / 120 PA
BABIP.344
lg avg .295 ▲+.049too early to trust
NOISE157 / 800 BIP