MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Bryan Reynolds
Bryan Reynolds
PIT · LF
Change to
Portrait of Fernando Tatis Jr.
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SD · RF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Fernando Tatis Jr..

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, steals, and average. Bryan Reynolds’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Fernando Tatis Jr. wins 3 categories (HR, SB, AVG); Bryan Reynolds wins 2 (R, RBI).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Bryan Reynolds
90.9
Fernando Tatis Jr.
92.0
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Bryan Reynolds
47.3%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
53.4%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Bryan Reynolds
10.1%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
10.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Bryan Reynolds
23.1%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
27.5%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Bryan Reynolds
12.8%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
13.7%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Bryan Reynolds
.369
Fernando Tatis Jr.
.347
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Bryan Reynolds
.240.300
lg AVG .295
now .276
.257
Fernando Tatis Jr.
.240.300
lg AVG .295
now .266
.288

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Bryan Reynolds
58
now 6
5
Fernando Tatis Jr.
58
now 1
6
Runshigher is better
Bryan Reynolds
2047.80
now 39
30
Fernando Tatis Jr.
2047.80
now 21
17
RBIhigher is better
Bryan Reynolds
2047.60
now 38
29
Fernando Tatis Jr.
2047.60
now 18
14
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Bryan Reynolds
.00018.40
now 4
3
Fernando Tatis Jr.
.00018.40
now 14
11
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyBryan Reynolds — buy.conf 0.71
BuyFernando Tatis Jr. — buy.conf 0.66
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