MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 9, 2026
Portrait of Fernando Tatis Jr.
Fernando Tatis Jr.
SD · RF
Change to
Nelson Velázquez
STL · LF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Fernando Tatis Jr..

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, steals, and average.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Fernando Tatis Jr. wins 3 categories (HR, SB, AVG); Nelson Velázquez wins 2 (R, RBI).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Fernando Tatis Jr.
91.7
Nelson Velázquez
94.5
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Fernando Tatis Jr.
52.9%
Nelson Velázquez
65.9%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Fernando Tatis Jr.
11.2%
Nelson Velázquez
12.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Fernando Tatis Jr.
27.5%
Nelson Velázquez
29.4%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Fernando Tatis Jr.
13.6%
Nelson Velázquez
16.3%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Fernando Tatis Jr.
.350
Nelson Velázquez
.423
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Fernando Tatis Jr.
.200.430
lg AVG .295
now .266
.291
Nelson Velázquez
.200.430
lg AVG .295
now .375
.245

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Fernando Tatis Jr.
59.40
now 1
7
Nelson Velázquez
59.40
now 1
6
Runshigher is better
Fernando Tatis Jr.
2044
now 21
19
Nelson Velázquez
2044
now 2
32
RBIhigher is better
Fernando Tatis Jr.
2066
now 18
17
Nelson Velázquez
2066
now 3
48
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Fernando Tatis Jr.
.00019.60
now 14
13
Nelson Velázquez
.00019.60
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyFernando Tatis Jr. — buy.conf 0.67
Hold · wait & seeNelson Velázquez — hold.conf 0.50
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