MLB Daily DeltaWeek 16 · July 9, 2026
Nelson Velázquez
STL · LF
Change to
Portrait of Riley Greene
Riley Greene
DET · LF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Riley Greene.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, steals, and average.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Riley Greene wins 3 categories (HR, SB, AVG); Nelson Velázquez wins 2 (R, RBI).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Nelson Velázquez
94.5
Riley Greene
91.7
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Nelson Velázquez
65.9%
Riley Greene
50.4%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Nelson Velázquez
12.2%
Riley Greene
13.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Nelson Velázquez
29.4%
Riley Greene
24.9%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Nelson Velázquez
16.3%
Riley Greene
13.7%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Nelson Velázquez
.423
Riley Greene
.363
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Nelson Velázquez
.200.430
lg AVG .295
now .375
.245
Riley Greene
.200.430
lg AVG .295
now .309
.270

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Nelson Velázquez
512.20
now 1
6
Riley Greene
512.20
now 5
9
Runshigher is better
Nelson Velázquez
2044
now 2
32
Riley Greene
2044
now 31
28
RBIhigher is better
Nelson Velázquez
2066
now 3
48
Riley Greene
2066
now 28
25
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Nelson Velázquez
.0002.20
now 0
0
Riley Greene
.0002.20
now 1
1
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeNelson Velázquez — hold.conf 0.50
BuyRiley Greene — buy.conf 0.70
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