Who's more valuable, rest of season
Fernando Tatis Jr..
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, steals, and average. Casey Schmitt’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
HR
▶
◀
R
◀
RBI
SB
▶
AVG
▶
Fernando Tatis Jr. wins 3 categories (HR, SB, AVG); Casey Schmitt wins 2 (R, RBI).
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgAvg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Casey Schmitt
89.4
Fernando Tatis Jr.
91.6
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Casey Schmitt
43.4%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
53.0%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Casey Schmitt
12.8%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
10.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Casey Schmitt
37.1%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
27.9%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Casey Schmitt
11.9%
Fernando Tatis Jr.
13.8%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Casey Schmitt
.364
Fernando Tatis Jr.
.354
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Casey Schmitt
.250.310
lg AVG .295
now .289
.279
Fernando Tatis Jr.
.250.310
lg AVG .295
now .266
.298
Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Casey Schmitt
516.40
now 12
9
Fernando Tatis Jr.
516.40
now 1
10
Runshigher is better
Casey Schmitt
2037.80
now 27
33
Fernando Tatis Jr.
2037.80
now 21
24
RBIhigher is better
Casey Schmitt
2048.80
now 33
40
Fernando Tatis Jr.
2048.80
now 18
20
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Casey Schmitt
.60020.40
now 5
6
Fernando Tatis Jr.
.60020.40
now 14
16
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyCasey Schmitt — buy.conf 0.70
BuyFernando Tatis Jr. — buy.conf 0.68