Is Casey Schmitt a buy or sell for fantasy baseball?

Buy — stable, above-average metrics signal genuine skill. Good ROS add target.

What is Casey Schmitt's rest-of-season outlook?

xwOBA .355, barrel 12.3% — contact quality is real

409 PA · week 31

this weekBUY

last weekBUY

Casey Schmitt

SF·LF

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31

ON THE 60-DAY IL

Buy stable xwOBA 0.355, +0.040 vs league, production is earned; elite, already-stable contact quality; add now.med 0.68 (narrative held for review)

ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0

Schmitt is a buy — the contact is rising and earned

Stable, above-average skill with no luck propping it up. Buy.

VS His Norm

Barrel %12.3%—+4.3% ▲vs his ~8.0% career norm

Drivers

xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.355, +0.040 vs league — production is earned
hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality

metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?

Avg Exit Velo89.9 mph

lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+0.9 mphvs his norm —

310 / 50 BBE

Hard-Hit %44.8%

lg avg 40.0% ▲+4.8%vs his norm —

310 / 50 BBE

Barrel %12.3%

lg avg 8.0% ▲+4.3%vs his norm +4.3% ▲

310 / 60 BBE

xwOBA.355

lg avg .315 ▲+.040vs his norm —

409 / 160 PA

wOBA.336

lg avg .315 ▲+.021vs his norm —

409 / 200 PA

Strikeout %19.8%

lg avg 22.0% ▼−2.2%vs his norm —

409 / 60 PA

Walk %2.7%

lg avg 8.5% ▼−5.8%vs his norm —

409 / 120 PA

BABIP.291

lg avg .295 ▼−.004vs his norm +.022 ▲BABIP is above his ~.269 norm — expect it to fall.

310 / 800 BIP

Swinging-Strike %11.5%

lg avg 11.0% ▲+0.5%vs his norm —

409 / 50 PA

Chase %36.5%

lg avg 28.5% ▲+8.0%vs his norm —

409 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf

Barrel% 12.3%→10.6%signal0 HR — Barrel% 12.3% (signal) tempered to career ~8.0% → projected 10.6%.

BABIP 0.291→0.302 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.291 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.308 (xBA 0.288) → 0.302.

on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.

slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.

run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (5 in 52 G) over ~0 projected PA.

rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

VS His Norm

Drivers

5×5 ROS Outlook

Comparisons