Rest of Season Projection
FernandoCategorySam
15HR ←9
32R →48
28RBI ←25
21SB ←15
.295AVG →.313
Current Season
FernandoCategorySam
1HR1
21R →25
18RBI ←13
14SB ←8
.266AVG →.280
What Each Player's System Trusts
Fernando Tatis Jr.
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.349, +0.034 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Sam Antonacci
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.370)
Fernando Tatis Jr.: 15 HR / 32 R. Sam Antonacci: 9 HR / 48 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).