
Sam Antonacci
Antonacci is a hold — league-average skill, BABIP will settle
His expected wOBA is .348, just .033 above the league average of .315, and with 557 plate appearances the number has cleared the point where it can be trusted. His actual wOBA is .345, tracking right with it, so nothing on the surface is running away from the skill. The one loose thread is his BABIP: .319 against a league average of .295. That gap is luck, not skill — BABIP needs around 800 balls in play to be reliable and he has 403, so expect some of that average to come back. The contact underneath is not loud: 87.5 mph average exit velocity and a 33.6% hard-hit rate both sit below league. What keeps him afloat is a 14.7% strikeout rate and a 6.2% swinging-strike rate, well better than league. Hold.
Drivers
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.348)
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.319 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
5×5 ROS Outlook
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