CWS

98 mph heat, 31.5% Ks, 2.97 xERA — the profile is real.

13% barrels and .378 xwOBA — contact-quality gap, not luck.

25.8% K rate, 94.8 mph heat, xERA under 4

20.5% barrels offset 35.4% strikeouts; contact is elite when he connects.

99.4 mph fastball, .262 xwOBA allowed — BABIP noise hides the ace

3.20 xERA, .277 xwOBA allowed — better than the 3.74 ERA says.

BABIP .240 suppresses a 90.7 mph exit velo and 19.8% K rate.

16% strikeouts can't sustain a 3.83 ERA over 4.79 xERA

BABIP-against .192 won't hold; 37% K rate is real.

xERA 7.62 says the 6.27 ERA flatters him.

A .224 BABIP props up a 3.5 xERA and 11% walk rate.

0.250 BABIP against is doing the work; xERA 4.15 says ordinary.

32.7% K rate with a .245 xwOBA — sell the .328 BABIP mirage.

BABIP .339 masks .301 xwOBA and 87 mph exit velo

Hard-Hit 49.8% but wOBA outruns xwOBA by 35 points.

xERA 5.62 confirms the 5.57 — no soft contact hiding it.

18% strikeouts, 5.05 xERA — the 4.44 ERA is a mirage.

3.94 ERA hides 4.69 xERA and 19.8% strikeout rate

26.5% hard-hit behind an 84.4 mph average — no thump.

29.8% strikeouts with a .267 xwOBA won't play

3.5% barrel rate with 88.5 mph exit velo — empty contact.

35.6% strikeout rate sinks the .294 xwOBA contact