CWS

xERA 2.85 while xwOBA allowed sits at .263.

Barrels 13.5%, strikeouts 17.7% — the contact is real

3.73 xERA beats the 4.1 league mark

57% hard-hit, 18.9% barrels — the whiffs are worth it

99.4 mph fastball, 2.96 xERA, 4.39 ERA — bad luck gap

5.28 ERA vs 3.39 xERA; 16% K rate is the drag.

BABIP .245 with 19.9% Ks and 90.7 mph exit velo.

11.6% strikeout rate can't support a 3.06 ERA

ERA 2.42 hides a 3.84 xERA — sell before it corrects

xERA 7.56 buried under a .196 BABIP mirage.

16.3 K% can't hold a 4.00 ERA; xERA says 4.63

32.4% K rate, 0.259 xwOBA — but the ERA gap says sell

BABIP-against .230 masks an 11.5% walk rate.

wOBA .355 but xwOBA .319 and 34% hard-hit

.335 BABIP propping up a .292 xwOBA bat

Barrel rate 11.7% but BABIP fuels a .365 wOBA

xERA 4.95 hidden by a .292 BABIP, 18% K rate

xERA 4.91 and a 19.2% K rate — fading arm.

32.6% strikeouts and a .234 xwOBA — no contact floor.

xERA 4.63 outruns the 4.13 ERA by half a run.

Barrel rate 3.2% — no power to justify the profile.

29% strikeout rate, .269 xwOBA — no contact floor.