MLB Daily DeltaWeek 25 · September 10, 2026
Engraved portrait of Luisangel Acuña
207 PA · week 25
this weekSELL
last weekBUY-LOW

Luisangel Acuña

data as of September 10, 2026·week 25
flipped from BUY-LOW on September 10, 2026
Sell stable xwOBA 0.265 below league with no luck excuse; move on.med 0.65
ROSAVG .243HR 0R 3RBI 1SB 2

Acuña is a sell — the contact is light and the skill is below league.

His expected wOBA is .265, fifty points below the league average of .315, and he has 207 plate appearances — past the 160 it takes for that number to be reliable. His actual wOBA is .244, so there is no bad-luck story dragging the line down. The contact confirms the gap: 88.4 mph off the bat, a 36.1% hard-hit rate, and 3.2% barrels, all below league. The trend is going the wrong way too — his expected wOBA has stepped down across the sample. He walks just 3.9% of the time, which is less than half the league average, so he does not get on base when the bat is quiet. There is no luck to give back and no hidden skill. Sell. With 0 HR / 3 R / 1 RBI / 2 SB / .243 AVG, he is a drop — deep-league streamer at best, not a stash.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %3.2%+0.3%vs his ~2.9% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.265 below league with no luck excuse
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo88.4 mph
88.4 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph −0.6 mphvs his norm —
158 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %36.1%
36.1%*
lg avg 40.0% −3.9%vs his norm —
158 / 50 BBE
Barrel %3.2%
norm3.2%*
lg avg 8.0% −4.8%vs his norm +0.3%
158 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.265
believable since Jul 12.265*
lg avg .315 −.050vs his norm —
207 / 160 PA
wOBA.244
.244*
lg avg .315 −.071vs his norm —
207 / 200 PA
Strikeout %19.3%
19.3%*
lg avg 22.0% −2.7%vs his norm —
207 / 60 PA
Walk %3.9%
3.9%*
lg avg 8.5% −4.6%vs his norm —
207 / 120 PA
BABIP.290
norm.290*
lg avg .295 −.005vs his norm −.006 BABIP is below his ~.296 normexpect it to rise.
158 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %13.0%
13.0%*
lg avg 11.0% +2.0%vs his norm —
207 / 50 PA
Chase %34.5%
34.5%*
lg avg 28.5% +6.0%vs his norm —
207 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 3.2%→3.0%signal0 HR — Barrel% 3.2% (signal) tempered to career ~2.9% → projected 3.0%.
BABIP 0.290→0.300 regressednoise.243 AVG — BABIP 0.290 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.302 (xBA 0.246) → 0.300.
on-base + lineup3 R — his run rate over ~34 projected PA.
slugging + lineup1 RBI — his RBI rate over ~34 projected PA.
run rate / role2 SB — his steal rate (8 in 43 G) over ~34 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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