140 PA · week 27
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Kyle Teel
data as of September 27, 2026·week 27
Hold · wait & see strikeout rate 35% is stable and high, caps the floor — skill near league average (0.324); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 0AVG .000R 0RBI 0SB 0
Teel is a hold — league-average skill, strikeouts cap the floor.
ROS projects HR 0 YTD → 0 ROS, AVG .000 YTD → .000 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %11.8%—+2.2% ▲vs his ~9.6% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.324)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 35% is stable and high — caps the floor
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo85.8 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−3.2 mphvs his norm —
68 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %48.5%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+8.5%vs his norm —
68 / 50 BBE
Barrel %11.8%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+3.8%vs his norm +2.2% ▲
68 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.324
lg avg .315 ▲+.009vs his norm —xwOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
140 / 160 PA
wOBA.314
lg avg .315 ▼−.001vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
140 / 200 PA
Strikeout %35.0%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+13.0%vs his norm —
140 / 60 PA
Walk %13.6%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+5.1%vs his norm —
140 / 120 PA
BABIP.290
lg avg .295 ▼−.005vs his norm −.071 ▼BABIP is below his ~.361 norm — expect it to rise.
68 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %15.9%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+5.0%vs his norm —
140 / 50 PA
Chase %31.3%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+2.8%vs his norm —
140 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 11.8%→10.2%signal0 HR — Barrel% 11.8% (signal) tempered to career ~9.6% → projected 10.2%.
BABIP 0.290→0.372 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.290 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.380 (xBA 0.209) → 0.372.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 1 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.