70 PA · week 20
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Kyle Teel
data as of August 8, 2026·week 20
ON THE 10-DAY IL
Hold · wait & see strikeout rate 39% is stable and high, caps the floor — skill near league average (0.302); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSAVG .108HR 2R 0RBI 0SB 0
Teel is a hold — league-average skill, no edges either way.
ROS projects AVG .000 YTD → .108 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.302)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 39% is stable and high — caps the floor
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo84.4 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−4.6 mphvs his norm —Avg Exit Velo is below the ~89.0 mph league average — expect it to rise.
36 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %50.0%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+10.0%vs his norm —Hard-Hit % is above the ~40.0% league average — expect it to fall.
36 / 50 BBE
Barrel %11.1%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+3.1%vs his norm +1.5% ▲Barrel % is above his ~9.6% norm — expect it to fall.
36 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.302
lg avg .315 ▼−.013vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
70 / 160 PA
wOBA.266
lg avg .315 ▼−.049vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
70 / 200 PA
Strikeout %38.6%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+16.6%vs his norm —
70 / 60 PA
Walk %8.6%
lg avg 8.5% ▲+0.1%vs his norm —Walk % is above the ~8.5% league average — expect it to fall.
70 / 120 PA
BABIP.294
lg avg .295 ▼−.001vs his norm −.067 ▼BABIP is below his ~.361 norm — expect it to rise.
36 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %17.6%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+6.7%vs his norm —
70 / 50 PA
Chase %33.1%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+4.6%vs his norm —
70 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 11.1%→9.8%noise2 HR — Barrel% 11.1% (noise) tempered to career ~9.6% → projected 9.8%.
BABIP 0.294→0.376 regressednoise.108 AVG — BABIP 0.294 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.380 (xBA 0.233) → 0.376.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~101 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~101 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 1 G) over ~101 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.