week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Bryan Hudson
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (3.48); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSK 23WHIP 1.25ERA 3.68W 1–4SV 1–3
Hudson is a hold — league average, no edge either way.
ROS projects K 28 YTD → 23 ROS, WHIP 1.15 YTD → 1.25 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Strikeout %22.4%—−2.4% ▼vs his ~24.8% career norm
- Walk %9.2%—−0.2% ▼vs his ~9.4% career norm
Drivers
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.48)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed35.1%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−4.9%vs his norm —
114 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed3.5%
lg avg 8.0% ▼−4.5%vs his norm —
114 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.291
lg avg .315 ▼−.024vs his norm —xwOBA Allowed is below the ~.315 league average — expect it to rise.
174 / 200 TBF
xERA3.48
lg avg 4.10 ▼−0.62vs his norm —xERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
174 / 200 TBF
ERA2.19
lg avg 4.10 ▼−1.91vs his norm —ERA is below the ~4.10 league average — expect it to rise.
41 / 200 IP
Strikeout %22.4%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+0.4%vs his norm −2.4% ▼
174 / 70 TBF
Walk %9.2%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.2%vs his norm −0.2% ▼
174 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.321
lg avg .295 ▲+.026vs his norm —BABIP Against is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
114 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %10.8%
lg avg 11.0% ▼−0.2%vs his norm —
174 / 60 TBF
Chase %23.2%
lg avg 28.5% ▼−5.3%vs his norm —
174 / 60 TBF
Fastball Velo91.9 mph
lg avg 94.0 mph ▼−2.1 mphvs his norm —
670 / 50 PITCHES
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
K% 22.4%→23.7%signal23 K — K% 22.4% (signal) lifted to career ~24.8% → projected 23.7% over ~22 remaining IP.
xERA 3.48noise3.68 ERA — xERA 3.48 (noise) blended 8% skill / 92% league 3.70 at 29 IP.
BB% 9.2% + contactsignal1.25 WHIP — a 9% walk rate plus BABIP-against 0.299 gives a 1.40 skill WHIP, blended 8%…
run support + role1-4 W — wins ride run support and how deep he goes, not just skill.
role (setup)1-3 SV — role: setup, in the save mix only situationally.
rosterdeep3.68 ERA, 1.25 WHIP
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.