MLB Daily DeltaWeek 12 · June 13, 2026
122 PA · week 12
this weekHOLD
last week

Brenton Doyle

data as of June 13, 2026·week 12
ON THE 10-DAY IL
Hold · wait & see strikeout rate 33% is stable and high, caps the floor — skill near league average (0.248); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 6AVG .200R 43RBI 8SB 19

Doyle is a hold — league-average skill, but the Ks cap the ceiling.

ROS projects HR 1 YTD → 6 ROS, AVG .207 YTD → .200 ROS, R 21 YTD → 43 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %5.6%−4.6%vs his ~10.2% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.248)
  • k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 33% is stable and high — caps the floor
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.8 mph
87.8 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph −1.2 mphvs his norm —
71 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %35.2%
35.2%*
lg avg 40.0% −4.8%vs his norm —
71 / 50 BBE
Barrel %5.6%
norm5.6%*
lg avg 8.0% −2.4%vs his norm −4.6%
71 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.248
.248*
lg avg .315 −.067vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league averageexpect it to rise.
122 / 160 PA
wOBA.254
.254*
lg avg .315 −.061vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league averageexpect it to rise.
122 / 200 PA
Strikeout %32.8%
32.8%*
lg avg 22.0% +10.8%vs his norm —
122 / 60 PA
Walk %9.0%
9.0%*
lg avg 8.5% +0.5%vs his norm —
122 / 120 PA
BABIP.314
norm.314*
lg avg .295 +.019vs his norm +.013 BABIP is above his ~.301 normexpect it to fall.
71 / 800 BIP

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 5.6%→9.0%signal6 HR — Barrel% 5.6% (signal) lifted to career ~10.2% → projected 9.0%.
BABIP 0.314→0.283 regressednoise.200 AVG — BABIP 0.314 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.280 (xBA 0.195) → 0.283.
on-base + lineup43 R — his run rate over ~252 projected PA.
slugging + lineup8 RBI — his RBI rate over ~252 projected PA.
run rate / role19 SB — his steal rate (9 in 43 G) over ~252 projected PA.
rosterdeep28 SB

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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