MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 28, 2026
122 PA · week 18
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD

Brenton Doyle

data as of July 28, 2026·week 18
ON THE 10-DAY IL
Hold · wait & see strikeout rate 33% is stable and high, caps the floor — skill near league average (0.248); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 2AVG .194R 22RBI 4SB 10

Doyle is a hold — league average, stable, nothing pulling either way.

ROS projects HR 1 YTD → 2 ROS, AVG .207 YTD → .194 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.

VS His Norm

  • Barrel %5.6%−4.6%vs his ~10.2% career norm

Drivers

  • xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.248)
  • k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 33% is stable and high — caps the floor
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.8 mph
87.8 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph −1.2 mphvs his norm —
71 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %35.2%
35.2%*
lg avg 40.0% −4.8%vs his norm —
71 / 50 BBE
Barrel %5.6%
norm5.6%*
lg avg 8.0% −2.4%vs his norm −4.6%
71 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.248
.248*
lg avg .315 −.067vs his norm —xwOBA is below the ~.315 league averageexpect it to rise.
122 / 160 PA
wOBA.252
.252*
lg avg .315 −.063vs his norm —wOBA is below the ~.315 league averageexpect it to rise.
122 / 200 PA
Strikeout %32.8%
32.8%*
lg avg 22.0% +10.8%vs his norm —
122 / 60 PA
Walk %9.0%
9.0%*
lg avg 8.5% +0.5%vs his norm —
122 / 120 PA
BABIP.314
norm.314*
lg avg .295 +.019vs his norm +.013 BABIP is above his ~.301 normexpect it to fall.
71 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %17.2%
17.2%*
lg avg 11.0% +6.2%vs his norm —
122 / 50 PA
Chase %35.4%
35.4%*
lg avg 28.5% +6.9%vs his norm —
122 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 5.6%→9.0%signal2 HR — Barrel% 5.6% (signal) lifted to career ~10.2% → projected 9.0%.
BABIP 0.314→0.283 regressednoise.194 AVG — BABIP 0.314 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.280 (xBA 0.195) → 0.283.
on-base + lineup22 R — his run rate over ~129 projected PA.
slugging + lineup4 RBI — his RBI rate over ~129 projected PA.
run rate / role10 SB — his steal rate (9 in 43 G) over ~129 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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