144 PA · week 17
this weekHOLD
last weekHOLD
Randal Grichuk
data as of July 18, 2026·week 17
Hold · wait & see skill near league average (0.361); hold and wait — key skill metric not yet stable enough to call.med 0.50 (narrative held for review)
ROSHR 4AVG .262R 23RBI 26SB 0
Grichuk is a hold — league average, nothing pulling either way.
ROS projects HR 4 YTD → 4 ROS, AVG .250 YTD → .262 ROS. Stable, rosterable; no clear edge to exploit either way.
VS His Norm
- Barrel %13.3%—+3.8% ▲vs his ~9.5% career norm
Drivers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.361)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo90.6 mph
lg avg 89.0 mph ▲+1.6 mphvs his norm —
105 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %46.7%
lg avg 40.0% ▲+6.7%vs his norm —
105 / 50 BBE
Barrel %13.3%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+5.3%vs his norm +3.8% ▲
105 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.361
lg avg .315 ▲+.046vs his norm —xwOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
144 / 160 PA
wOBA.337
lg avg .315 ▲+.022vs his norm —wOBA is above the ~.315 league average — expect it to fall.
144 / 200 PA
Strikeout %22.9%
lg avg 22.0% ▲+0.9%vs his norm —
144 / 60 PA
Walk %3.5%
lg avg 8.5% ▼−5.0%vs his norm —
144 / 120 PA
BABIP.260
lg avg .295 ▼−.035vs his norm −.033 ▼BABIP is below his ~.293 norm — expect it to rise.
105 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %12.1%
lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.1%vs his norm —
144 / 50 PA
Chase %33.6%
lg avg 28.5% ▲+5.1%vs his norm —
144 / 50 PA
5×5 ROS Outlook
rest of seasonWhere each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.
statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 13.3%→10.8%signal4 HR — Barrel% 13.3% (signal) tempered to career ~9.5% → projected 10.8%.
BABIP 0.260→0.322 regressednoise.262 AVG — BABIP 0.260 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.331 (xBA 0.290) → 0.322.
on-base + lineup23 R — his run rate over ~134 projected PA.
slugging + lineup26 RBI — his RBI rate over ~134 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (0 in 36 G) over ~134 projected PA.
rosterdeeprotational counting only
Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.