week 10
this weekSELL
last weekSELL
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Erick Fedde
data as of June 3, 2026·week 10
Fedde is a sell — skill is below league with no luck excuse.
His expected ERA is 4.59, nearly half a run above the league average of 4.10, and that number is stable after 236 batters faced. The performance is what it is — his BABIP-against is near league average, so there is no bad-luck story. His strikeout rate is 14.4%, well below the league average of 22%, and it has been trending down. That limits his ceiling even when everything else is neutral. His hard-hit rate and barrel rate are both near league average. The skill is below league and the trajectory is not improving. Sell.
Sell
med0.70
Drivers
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.59 +0.49 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Hard-Hit % Allowed39.8%
lg avg 40.0% ▼−0.2%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL176 / 50 BBE
Barrel % Allowed9.1%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.1%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL176 / 60 BBE
xwOBA Allowed.336
lg avg .315 ▲+.021trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL236 / 200 TBF
xERA4.59
lg avg 4.10 ▲+0.49trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL236 / 200 TBF
ERA5.40
lg avg 4.10 ▲+1.30too early to trust
NOISE53.3 / 200 IP
Strikeout %14.4%
lg avg 22.0% ▼−7.6%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL236 / 70 TBF
Walk %9.7%
lg avg 8.0% ▲+1.7%trustworthy at this sample
SIGNAL236 / 170 TBF
BABIP Against.264
lg avg .295 ▼−.031too early to trust
NOISE176 / 800 BIP