Rest of Season Projection
ErickCategoryJacob
70K →163
4.42ERA →2.19
1.45WHIP →0.98
0–0W →6–13
0SV0
Current Season
ErickCategoryJacob
34K →108
5.40ERA →1.65
1.48WHIP →0.79
0W →6
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Erick Fedde
- xeraSIGNALstable xERA 4.59 +0.49 vs league with no luck excuse
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Jacob Misiorowski
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.243 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 2.19 is 0.54 above the ERA — regression coming
Erick Fedde: 70 K / 4.42 ERA. Jacob Misiorowski: 163 K / 2.19 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).