MLB Daily DeltaWeek 31 · October 26, 2026
Engraved portrait of Tristan Peters
491 PA · week 31
this weekHOLD
last weekSELL-HIGH

Tristan Peters

data as of October 26, 2026·week 31
flipped from SELL-HIGH on October 26, 2026
Hold · steady skill near league average (0.314); hold steady — skill tracks near league, no edge either way.med 0.60
ROSAVG .000HR 0R 0RBI 0SB 0

Peters is a hold — league-average skill, stable on both sides

His expected wOBA is .314, one point under the league average of .315, and he has 491 plate appearances — well past the point where that number becomes reliable. The surface line is a touch better than the skill: .340 actual wOBA against .314 expected. That gap is the reason to stay patient rather than chase, but it is not a luck story worth selling into. His plate discipline holds up: he strikes out 18.3% of the time, well below league average, and walks 7.5%. The contact quality is the soft spot — 87.5 mph average exit velocity and a 34.1% hard-hit rate, both under league. There is no baseline or trajectory here to lean on; this call rests on what the sample already shows. Hold. A 0 HR / 0 R / 0 RBI / 0 SB / .000 AVG projection is a waiver-tier tax — hold only as deep-league filler.

Drivers

  • xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.314)
metric · nowrolling trajectoryvs. leaguestabilized?
Avg Exit Velo87.5 mph
87.5 mph*
lg avg 89.0 mph ▼−1.5 mphvs his norm —
353 / 50 BBE
Hard-Hit %34.1%
34.1%*
lg avg 40.0% ▼−5.9%vs his norm —
353 / 50 BBE
Barrel %5.4%
5.4%*
lg avg 8.0% ▼−2.6%vs his norm —
353 / 60 BBE
xwOBA.314
believable since May 31.314*
lg avg .315 ▼−.001vs his norm —
491 / 160 PA
wOBA.340
.340*
lg avg .315 ▲+.025vs his norm —
491 / 200 PA
Strikeout %18.3%
18.3%*
lg avg 22.0% ▼−3.7%vs his norm —
491 / 60 PA
Walk %7.5%
7.5%*
lg avg 8.5% ▼−1.0%vs his norm —
491 / 120 PA
BABIP.309
.309*
lg avg .295 ▲+.014vs his norm —BABIP is above the ~.295 league average — expect it to fall.
353 / 800 BIP
Swinging-Strike %12.3%
12.3%*
lg avg 11.0% ▲+1.3%vs his norm —
491 / 50 PA
Chase %32.6%
32.6%*
lg avg 28.5% ▲+4.1%vs his norm —
491 / 50 PA

5×5 ROS Outlook

rest of season

Where each category goes the rest of the way, and the skill that drives it. Tap a row to expand the full derivation.

statytdrosdriverconf
Barrel% 5.4%→5.9%signal0 HR — Barrel% 5.4% (signal) lifted to league ~8.0% → projected 5.9%.
BABIP 0.309→0.301 regressednoise.000 AVG — BABIP 0.309 is noise, regressed toward xBA-implied 0.294 (xBA 0.248) → 0.301.
on-base + lineup0 R — his run rate over ~0 projected PA.
slugging + lineup0 RBI — his RBI rate over ~0 projected PA.
run rate / role0 SB — his steal rate (4 in 57 G) over ~0 projected PA.
rosterdroprotational counting only

Every projection traces to a sabermetric input. The driver and confidence shown per row are always visible; tap any row to expand the full derivation.

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