Rest of Season Projection
DylanCategoryTristan
6HR ←5
35R ←30
26RBI ←23
6SB →7
.233AVG →.256
Current Season
DylanCategoryTristan
2HR2
16R →18
12RBI →14
3SB →4
.243AVG →.295
What Each Player's System Trusts
Dylan Beavers
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.308)
Tristan Peters
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.368 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.297 is 0.058 below the surface — regression coming
Dylan Beavers: 6 HR / 35 R. Tristan Peters: 5 HR / 30 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).